Super El Niño Potential in 2026-2027 Could Rival Historic 1877-1878 Event

A rare alignment of climate indicators raises the possibility of a historic super El Niño.

Article written by Shawn Hackett from Hackett Financial Advisors Inc., as written on seedworld.com

What are the potential implications for global crop supplies, seed sector planning and agricultural profitability?

When it comes to predicting climate, it has been our experience that history rhymes consistently. Meaning, if we have a good concept of what has happened in the past, those events will reoccur in the future. Although no two events are exactly the same, they do rhyme sufficiently to be able to make some grande conclusions in terms of possible weather anomalies, at-risk areas and potential impacts to agricultural prices, inflation, geopolitics and the ag economy.

For the seed industry, adverse weather that a super El Niño may bring can alter world seed production. It may also modulate seed demand as planted acres shift while adding an element of economic uncertainty to seed pricing structures. Being prepared to adapt to these rapidly changing world seed dynamics to future seed business planning decisions can be the difference maker in aligning grower needs with seed producer interests.